Some points I totally agree with, some… not so much. Regarding screen size, for instance, 65 inches make no sense indeed but 75 do if you sit close enough — about two steps away — and 85 are more than OK in the same distance. I use both daily, plus an 85-inch 4K and a 77-inch 4K… and the difference in resolution is there. Again, from two steps away. On the third step… yeah. Details are gone. The picture is just more “solid” but that’s about it.

Regarding Internet speeds, I agree too. 25 Mbps are not enough but, depending on the encoding/compression, 100 Mbps will definitely be if bandwidth is used for 8K only and material is smartly optimized. I get it that a lot of consumers do not have access to 100 Mbps, but many early adopters do — and that’s who 8K TVs will be targetting e.g. until 2025 anyway.

I disagree about people not going back to movie theatres, though. Bond and Spider-man proved that. Judging from my family and friends, we miss going to the cinema. A lot. I have an extremely good 4K projector and an Atmos system in my living room and I STILL miss going to the cinema, it’s just not the same. It’s not a good thing or a bad thing, it just is.

So what I think will happen during the next few years is that theatres and living rooms will co-exist, but a lot of changes will happen (are already happening actually… such as the much-reduced theatrical window) affecting cinemas in ways we cannot predict right now. Chances are that we’ll all end up going to theatres just for the AAA blockbuster billion-dollar flicks while watching more artsy movies at home. It’s sad but highly probable.

Hollywood will not just give up movie theatres because subscription services cannot sustain film production all on their own. No way. It’s just that movie theatres will probably go extremely mainstream (the opposite of the niche approach you are suggesting), featuring only those films that are considered “cultural events” and can score a lot of tickets. Again, that’s what I would deem a logical outcome to be. Who knows what public entertainment will look like in 2023 or 2024 anyway?

Finally, regarding 16K TVs… I do not think that there will be a point in releasing those anymore. It would have to be for 120+ inch diagonals only, in which case one would have to have the room for it, in which case… how many people are there that can afford a home like that? There will be prototypes, sure, but commercial 16K TVs at less than 100 inches will be just as pointless as 65-inch 8K TVs are today. My two cents!